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Blue collar workers have the last laugh


This is the beginning of the end for many of them too. Look at the opening line of the page:

> We’re teaching AI to understand and simulate the physical world in motion, with the goal of training models that help people solve problems that require real-world interaction.

Text-to-video is just the flashy demo that everyone can understand after exposure to text-to-image. Once the model can "simulate the physical world in motion" it's only a few steps away from generic robotic control software that can automate a ton of processes that were impossible before.

Humans still have the benefit of dexterity and precise muscle control but in the vast majority of cases robots can overcome those limitations with better control software and specialized robotic end effectors. This won't soon replace someone crawling under a house or welding in awkward positions, but it could for example replace someone who flips burgers or does manual labwork.

This could eliminate the limiting factor for automating many manual processes. (ruh-roh)


Plumbers keep winning.


What happens when anyone can put on their AR headset and have AI diagnose and walk them through exactly how to fix their plumbing problems?


What happens when their AR headset gets wet?

Less glibly, no matter how good you are at following instructions, tearing out a wall filled with water than can destroy your home, fiberglass insulation that can damage your lungs and electrical wiring that can kill you will never be something I’d recommend a layman do. No matter how good the ai tutorials are.


Don't take tacit knowledge for granted.


Turns out the only jobs robots can't take are the ones where humans are specialized, such as cleaning staircases.


It's just cheaper to put humans on tedious physical tasks. See Amazon.

AI is cheaper than a high paid designer, developer, writer, etc.

A robot is more expensive than a human laborer.

It's really funny to see the squirm from those thinking truckers would be automated away, not them.


> A robot is more expensive than a human laborer.

Not when intelligence is cheap and highly abundant. Perfecting general robotics as an improvement on humans will be quick. The upper limit of strength and consistency is much higher.


I mean today, in the real world.

It is currently more expensive to build a robot for many tasks than it is to have a human do it.

> Perfecting general robotics as an improvement on humans will be quick.

It has not been nor is there any indication it will be.


Today in the real world AI can replace very little of designers, programmers, etc. Lots of potential and extrapolation, sure. but hasn't happened. What has actually been produced by AI has been panned as not quite ripe yet.

Same with robotics. Lots of potential, but hasn't happened yet. If you read the description, Sora, is based out of trying to simulate the physical world to solve physics based problems. Something that would be perfect for the next leap in robotics.


I use to pay designers for artwork, now I just use AI.

There's no physical task that robots have replaced humans for me.

Hell, even the roomba sucks (pun intended) and my wife has to pick up the slack.


Haven't you seen Migo Robotics? :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCKN8k-OFG8


Think about it. Sora demonstrate AI can understand real world physics to a scary degree.

If you use Sora like models to imagine what actions needed to be taken, then realize it, well, the only thing left is to create an arm/fingers that can took action, then you are done.




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