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The 1967 Detroit riot happened.



How is that related to population migration between 2000-10?


Detroit has been in continual (statistical) decline since the riots.

In the decades following the riots, the middle class black population followed the white population into the suburbs.

At the same time, the industrial economy of the rust belt collapsed.

Then the auto industry collapsed.

Any one of these things could set in motion a vicious circle (people leave, local services become underfunded, crime increases, property values decline, more people leave) but Detroit got hit continuously for ~4 decades.


It's not that auto industry collapsed, it's auto industry dumped these cities for poor performance.


It's a somewhat racist simplification of things.

The 67 riots were a big part of what provoked 'white flight' from detroit to the burbs. Of course, detroit was already losing population before that and the trend didn't speed up overall until much later, when the car companies started struggling. As always, it's more about economics than it is about race.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_history_of_Detroit


> It's a somewhat racist simplification of things.

Housing and education are the two remaining bastions of socially acceptable racism and classism in American society. Middle class white families don't want to move into a city that's 80% black and 30% below the poverty line. There is a lot of talk about the revitalization of downtown Detroit. Take a look at this demographic map (blue = blacks, red = whites) and see if you can guess what neighborhoods those yuppies are moving into: http://media.mlive.com/news/detroit_impact/photo/detroit-rac....


Middle class black families don't want to (really: won't) move into a city with high crime and low employment prospects. We attribute a racial dynamic to Detroit because of the label "white flight", but it's the label that's racist; the dynamic transcends race.

You see the same thing in Oak Park, on the outskirts of the West Side of Chicago, where I live. If you can get out of Humboldt Park and North Lawndale, you do: the schools are better and the neighborhood is safer. And the move from Lawndale to Oak Park doesn't even change your employability, unlike a move out of Detroit.


You're obviously right that anyone with means will try to leave a high crime neighborhood. But "white flight" was absolutely a thing:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blockbusting


Had family who lived in that area during the late 60s--do you have any thoughts on why Chicago bounced back and Detroit did not?

My hunch would be being less invested in the auto industry and more in general trade and banking.


Exactly that; Chicago has a diverse economy that isn't as dependent on manufacturing; Chicago is also a finance center and a transportation hub, neither of which hurt.


It's not really just the label that's racist - I wish I could hand you the citation, but I'm having trouble finding it online. IIRC, there was a study dating from the 60s that showed that when a neighborhood reached somewhere around 10-15% black, white people started moving out. This was taken advantage of by real estate investors, who would move a few middle-class black families onto a block (possibly taking a loss, because completely white neighborhoods aren't attractive to most black families), starting a process of buying at a discount the houses of the white families who were desperate to leave, and then reselling to middle-class black families who often had higher incomes than the white families they were replacing. In this way, the replacement of white families by black families would snowball.

Of course, the appeal of those neighborhoods to middle-class black people would also drop, because as the whites left, the neighborhood lost its luster as a symbol of achieving the middle-class for black people. Prices start to drop to the level where less than middle class people can move in (to what would still be an aspirational neighborhood to black people who weren't in the middle class.)

Then the city starts to withdraw services (the 1950s, 1960s, 1970s city), and, as in Chicago for example, builds highways and other developments as firebreaks to stop the expansion of these new black neighborhoods. Eventually many sections start to go into serious decline, and middle-class black people either leave, or manage to form exclusive enclaves within them.

tl;dr Humboldt Park and North Lawndale didn't originally have high crime and bad schools, that was a process that was begun by white flight.

I always like to cite the example of the neighborhood I grew up in in Chicago: Avalon Park, where "the average educational level increased, while the poverty rate decreased from 6.1% to 5.1% between 1960 and 1970."[1] The fact that black people were an improvement to the neighborhood didn't slow white flight down a whit - we moved there in 1978, when I was 2, and when I entered school at 5 there was a single white person that attended Avalon Park Elementary School. His name was Patrick, and his stepfather was black. I only ever saw one white person in that neighborhood who wasn't a teacher at that school. It was a windy day, and she was walking in front of Sears on 79th, trying to keep her scarf from blowing away. It was 1989.

If you care, I'll find the reference at some point - but I couldn't find it online, and most of my books are packed away in a fashion where it would take me at least an hour to find anything specific. If this year is like last year, I'll find cause to wade into the stacks two or three times and I'll keep an eye out for it.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avalon_Park,_Chicago


+1 on that reference.


That's also true, but on the flip side I think what we're seeing in Chicago is that the middle class black folks are more reluctant to leave for the suburbs and try to stick it out longer in those neighborhoods than the middle class white folks.


What do the green and yellow dots in the map represent?


http://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/sets/7215762635414957...

Here are some more maps for other cities. Detroit is kind of expected but I am surprised that many of those cities are as segregated as they are. There is a legend in there too.


Green is asian, yellow is hispanic.


what's that red spot in the middle of blue?


That's Hamtramck, a city that was mostly settled by Eastern Europeans but also now has many immigrants from the Middle East and South Asia. It is technically a separate city from Detroit.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hamtramck


> Hamtramck festivals > Pączki Day

hah


The only thing racist about attributing Detroit's decline to "white flight" is the name "white flight", since black families were also very much a part of white flight.


Lots of cities had race riots in the 60s. Lots of cities were rough during the crack epidemic, too. Most are doing great these days.

Looking past the collapse of the auto industry (which coincided with the greatest population decline in 2000-2010), to riots 50 (!) years ago as the sole reason for decline strikes me as having the answer in mind before hearing the question. YMMV.


>Lots of cities had race riots in the 60s. Lots of cities were rough during the crack epidemic, too.

Not a lot of cities have had black mayors continuously since 1974.


Were any of those cities of Detroit's size, and did they too lose double digit percentages of their majority white populations?


"The 67 riots were a big part of what provoked 'white flight' from detroit to the burbs."

Coleman Young did his best to keep it going a decade later.


There's a generational aspect.

As throngs left Detroit in the 60s through 80s, they started families, but not in Detroit. As people died off in Detroit, there was no younger population to keep the numbers up.

It's not all that, but some people moving out in the 2000s (me, for one) made the % drop larger. Had there still been 2 million in Detroit like years past, a 10% drop would have hurt but not that much (and just given the economies around a population that large, it probably wouldn't have even dropped that much).


Actually Detroit population started declining in the 50's, and the riot didn't really accelerate the decline:

http://www.mybudget360.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/detroi...




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