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IAEA, US intelligence said that Iran is not developing a nuclear weapon.

It was the only other nuclear armed country of the Middle East crying wolf, which they have since decades before I was born.



The hardest thing in developing nuclear weapons is getting enough enriched uranium, and Iran was doing that.


Quite a few countries take this approach. It’s a sensible one, especially considering how we’ve treated North Korea versus Iraq/Afghanistan/Libya.

Japan has the rockets, the material, and the know how. They’re sometimes described as a screwdriver turn away from a bomb.


if only there were some agreement we could make with them to get them not to do that...


I'll take the IAEA and US' own intelligence instead of Netanyahu and Trump.


IAEA declared that Iran has violated the previous agreements, hides their enriched uranium, and their enrichment is essentially weapons-grade.

> The IAEA report raised a stern warning, saying that Iran is now “the only non-nuclear-weapon state to produce such material” — something the agency said was of “serious concern.”

> The report by the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency — which was seen by The Associated Press — says that as of May 17, Iran has amassed 408.6 kilograms (900.8 pounds) of uranium enriched up to 60%.

> U.S. intelligence agencies assess that Iran has yet to begin a weapons program, but has “undertaken activities that better position it to produce a nuclear device, if it chooses to do so.”

https://apnews.com/article/iran-nuclear-iaea-uranium-7f6c996...

> "The Board of Governors... finds that Iran's many failures to uphold its obligations since 2019 to provide the Agency with full and timely cooperation regarding undeclared nuclear material and activities at multiple undeclared locations in Iran ... constitutes non-compliance with its obligations under its Safeguards Agreement with the Agency," the text said.

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/iaea-board-declares-iran...

Anyway, there's a difference between having enough enriched uranium for a bomb, and actually making that uranium into a bomb. But it's not that big of a difference, it's not like enriching uranium to weapons-grade isn't bad.




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