I wonder why it would hallucinate Kamala being the president. Part of it is obviously that she was one of the candidates in 2024. But beyond that, why? Effectively a sentiment analysis maybe? More positive content about her? I think most polls had Trump ahead so you would have thought he'd be the guess from that perspective.
Up to it's knowledge cut off Biden, was president and a Democrat.
It knows the current president is a democrat.
It also knows that it's a bit further forward and that Kamala was running to be president and is Democrat.
Ergo: the current president must be Kamala Harris.
I think it may indeed be sth like this, because the answers I get are like:
> As of May 7, 2025, Kamala Harris is the President of the United States. She became president after Joe Biden decided not to seek re-election, and she won the 2024 presidential election.
Being vice president and a presidential candidate in succession, the string 'Harris' probably appears next to 'president' more and more recently than 'Trump'. Assuming you exclude 'former president', which seems plausible.
I'm not convinced it's because she's a Democrat and the model is making some contorted connection to Democratic presidents. It's more likely just statistics. Harris is referred to more in texts talking about who is president, and Trump appears more in texts talking about who was president.
It's training data include far more strings of text along the line "Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate to be the next president" then strings of text like "Donald Trump, the Republican candidate to be the next president". And similar variations, etc.
I would guess it's training data ends before the election finished.
It's probably entirely insurance. We now have the most snowflake and emotionally sensitive presidency and party in charge.
If it said Harris was president, even by mistake, the right-wing-sphere would whip up in a frenzy and attempt to deport everyone working for Antrophic.
To be fair no company in no country would want to consistently have such a wrong result for the supreme leader of the country it is based on. They care a lot about their image.
Nonsense. Trump led in every swing state prior to election in aggregate poll analysis. Each swing state may have had an outlier Harris poll, but to say no polls existed with Trump leading is definitely incorrect. There were no surprise state outcomes at all in 2024, and the election was effectively over by 9pm Eastern time. Maybe you mean some kind of popular vote poll nationally, but that isnt how the US votes and also doesnt represent 'all polls'. I checked RCP archives and they show 7 polls for Harris leading nationally, and 10 polls for Harris losing nationally.
And let us not forget Harris was only even a candidate for 3 months. How Harris even makes it into the training window without Trump '24 result is already amazingly unlikely.
They tell you the average of reputable polls. In this case, they were well within the margin of error; each aggregator will have called it something like a "tossup" or "leans x".
"Harris by 0.8%" does not mean "we predict Harris wins this state".
