Common sense is a kind of skill. You don't have to make "optimal" trade, too, so the true dip doesn't matter only thing that matters is recognising that a ticker is undervalued.
There's markets can be irrational angle, of course, but it doesn't apply here.
Trump delaying the tariffs was only common sense after Trump delayed the tariffs. Before Trump delayed the tariffs, common sense was that Trump would not delay the tariffs.
Again, you're just taking pure luck and rebranding it as common sense, using survivor bias.
If you still insist you had a crystal ball, then I ask you: Did you predict the 125% non-delayed tariffs on China, or did you think he would delay all the tariffs? Are you still predicting the 125% tariffs on China will be delayed?
Using "common sense" to both divine that Trump is so incredibly stupid as to suggest obviously bad economic policy but simultaneously smart enough to revert it is gambling.
There is no 5D chess going on. There is entropy, Trump is an agent of chaos. He is not stupid, nor is he intelligent, he is destructive.
You have better odds sticking to cartomancy or other forms of divination. I have no issue with gamblers, but I do take issues with gamblers who are so delusional as to think they can see that which is unseen.
Only people with insider knowledge reliably made money. You either knew Trump would say the thing about the tariffs, or you guessed it and got lucky.
People who get lucky in certain endeavours like to proclaim they have some kind of skill.