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> LLMs are an existential threat to basically every knowledge worker job on the planet.

Given the typical problems of LLMs they are not. You still need them to check the results. It’s like FSD, impressive when it works, bad if not, scary because you never known beforehand when it’s failing



Yeah, the vast majority of what I spend my time on in a day isn’t something an LLM can help with.

My wife and I both work on and with LLMs and they seem to be, like… 5-10% productivity boosters on a good day. I’m not sure they’re even that good averaged over a year. And they don’t seem to be getting a lot better in ways that change that. Also, they’re that good if you’re good at using them and I can tell you most people really, really are not.

I remember when it was possible to be “good at Google”. It was probably a similar productivity boost. I was good at Google. Most (like, over 95% of) people were not, and didn’t seem to be able to get there, and… also remained entirely employable despite that.


I used to be firmly in this camp, but I'm not any more.

Even if they fail 1% of the time, the cost savings are too great. Businesses will take the risk.




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