It was already baked into the cake because the previous administration spent something like 13% of GDP in its last year in order to win the election that they went on to lose. 13% of GDP's worth of malinvestment will increase poverty in due time, and that time was Milei's first year in government. In 2001 the Peronists left the next non-Peronist government a ticking time bomb, the next government (De La Rúa's)completely fumbled and had to end early, returning power to the Peronists. In 2023-2024 the Peronist plan was to repeat that experience. Unlike De La Rúa though, Milei seems to know what he's doing and so has been able to head off the putsch. It would be hard to push Milei out of power when his popularity right now is higher than his election winning percentage.
Also do keep in mind that in 2012 the Peronist government "intervened" the government's statistics department, and since then government stats were somewhere between unreliable and total fiction. Presumably that has changed now. Thus the poverty level before the election could have been understated, just as the inflation numbers then were.
Since the end of 2015 with Macri and then with A. Fernandez the statistic department is normalized and the numbers were quite good. (It's too optimistic to claim 100% accurate, but I don't remember mayor problems since 2015.)
Also do keep in mind that in 2012 the Peronist government "intervened" the government's statistics department, and since then government stats were somewhere between unreliable and total fiction. Presumably that has changed now. Thus the poverty level before the election could have been understated, just as the inflation numbers then were.