well gary marcus a non lay person is helping spread word that ai winter is again upon us.
but maybe statistical learning from pretraining is near its limit. not enough data or not enough juice to squeeze more performance out of averages.
though with all the narrow ais it does seem plausible you might be able to cram all what these narrow ais can do in on big goliath model. wonder if reinforcement learning and reasoning can manage to keep the exponential curve of ai going if there are still hiccups in the short term.
the difficulty in just shoehorning llms as they are in any and every day task without a hitch might be behind the temporary hype-dying down trend.
but maybe statistical learning from pretraining is near its limit. not enough data or not enough juice to squeeze more performance out of averages.
though with all the narrow ais it does seem plausible you might be able to cram all what these narrow ais can do in on big goliath model. wonder if reinforcement learning and reasoning can manage to keep the exponential curve of ai going if there are still hiccups in the short term.
the difficulty in just shoehorning llms as they are in any and every day task without a hitch might be behind the temporary hype-dying down trend.