On one hand, I somewhat agree; on the other hand, I think LLMs and similar tooling will allow juniors to punch far beyond their weight and learn and do things that they would have never have dreamed of before. As mentioned in another comment, they're the teacher that never gets tired and can answer any question (with the necessary qualifications about correctness, learning the answer but not the reasoning, etc)
It remains to be seen if juniors can obtain the necessary institutional / "real work" experience from that, but given the number of self-taught programmers I know, I wouldn't rule it out.
I think many people using llms are faking it and have no interest in “making it”.
It’s not about learning for most.
Just because a small subset of intelligent and motivated people use tools to become better programmers, there is a larger number of people that will use the tools to “cheat”.
It remains to be seen if juniors can obtain the necessary institutional / "real work" experience from that, but given the number of self-taught programmers I know, I wouldn't rule it out.