I think it's more accurate to say that the internet and perhaps personal computing in general is dead.
Practically everything about what makes a computer tick has been abstracted away, because rightfully or otherwise people today just don't care. When was the last time you saw someone actually using the address bar in a web browser instead of Googling? Or indeed Tictok'ing or Insta'ing. Nobody knows what a file or folder is either.
The majority of people never did personal computing. Remember the Eternal September where internet users were saddened by hordes of normies messing up the net? I feel like there was probably a spike around the early 2000s in number of people doing personal computing. Since then it's gone back to normal. Most people aren't interested and have no need for it. Tiktok etc is just the new TV: something to mindlessly rot away in front of. We also need to remember that even those people who did use computers never used them how we use them. They used Windows and Microsoft stuff. Hardly in control of their own computing. Part of me is saddened by it, but then I wonder if that isn't the case for everything: cyclists are sad about all the cars, cooks are sad about all the ready meals etc.
> We also need to remember that even those people who did use computers never used them how we use them. They used Windows and Microsoft stuff. Hardly in control of their own computing.
That's just elitism.
MS and Windows gave access to computers to millions of people who otherwise wouldn't have been interested. MS products allowed them to be productive, and enabled thousands of businesses to function. MS was instrumental in the explosion of the internet and WWW in the 90s. No niche hacker-oriented or consumer OS had as large of an impact as Windows.
We can argue whether MS has lost its way since then, but claiming that people weren't in control of their computing in the 90s because they used MS products is silly. The aggressive tracking, SaaS business models and everything else MS is criticized for today came much later.
Hmm.. this is the line where it become elitism? Google enables people to be productive and thousands of businesses to function. What's the difference between using Google and a PC in the 90s? That you own the hardware? The hardware is useless to most people without the software. OK, so it's the data. Well, Microsoft were (and are) champions of vendor lock in. Even when they claimed to use open standards they messed it up (see the Office XML formats). If anything, Microsoft conditioned people to believing that personal computing was just running the software in your own house. It doesn't mean you are meaningfully in control of it, though. For me, it's only a short jump from there to what we see today where people just do the computing on someone else's computer too.
> What's the difference between using Google and a PC in the 90s?
Well, you answered that yourself. Software in the 90s was running locally, and the data it used was also local. That's an important difference from running software on someone else's computer with data you don't control. That access can be cutoff at any point, and there's nothing you can do about it. With local software and data you would at least have the option to export the data to another format (assuming the software supports it), or to read the data with another software. For the specific case of MS Office formats, even the closed ones prior to the XML formats were readable by 3rd party software. I would qualify this as being in "control of their computing".
Vendor lock-in doesn't deprive users of this control. You have exactly the same issue with F/LOSS today. Whether you choose to use PostgreSQL/MySQL or Oracle/Access, you're always locked in to that specific vendor. Hopefully that vendor has good integrations and interoperability features so that you can migrate to something else if you wanted to, but the actual license has no bearing on this.
I suppose our disagreement is with what it means to be in "control of computing". If you define it as being able to read, modify and share the source code, then proprietary software doesn't fit that definition. But most users don't practically need this level of control. As long as the software has decent interoperability, and you actually have control over how and where you run it, then proprietary software can qualify. SaaS, OTOH, does not.
> When was the last time you saw someone actually using the address bar in a web browser instead of Googling?
I used to laugh when people Googled a websites name instead of entering it manually. But these days, I find myself often either Googling (or DuckDuckGoing usually, but as a verb that just doesn't have the same ring to it)for the name, or relying on autocomplete from my bookmarks or history.
I feel website names have become less predictable mainly because of the explosion of possible top level domains: even if I know the exact name of a website, I can't reliably remember which TLD to use. Plus I'm more and more worried of accidentally using the wrong URL (through a misspelling or a wrong TLD or whatever) for fear of ending up on some scam site instead of the real thing.
>Plus I'm more and more worried of accidentally using the wrong URL (through a misspelling or a wrong TLD or whatever) for fear of ending up on some scam site instead of the real thing.
I also Google for websites I really should know by heart more often than I want to admit.
Why? Because I've accidentally typed googl.com or google.colm and then immediately slammed ALT+F4 enough bloody times that I actually no longer trust myself to type straight.
At least if I typo "googl" into Google I'll either get an autocorrected result or utter gibberish instead of a drive-by trojan to my face.
When did people 'care'? Complex technologies have always been pushed on people. Regulation, consumer protection etc. is supposed to be the informed, delegated 'caring' filter.
The interesting long-term dynamic is that the problem is self-correcting. If you use amazing technologies to breed masses of addicted, exploited idiots instead of informed empowered citizens, eventually your walled garden will collapse onto itself.
Back when using a computer required having some idea of what was going on. Even if all you really cared about was playing Doom, you still needed to make sense of all those levers with nonsensical labels on them and boy did we figure them out.
Mind you, I don't see where we are today as necessarily a bad thing. It's a very good thing that most people can just use a computer as just another tool like a screwdriver or a car.
But on the other hand, we've also lost the joys and miseries of getting our hands dirty.
Yes, I also think the phenomenal adoption of computing is fundamentally a good thing as it unlocks new levels for society, at least in principle.
In the short term it triggered a race to a low-information, consumerist bottom in many respects (privacy invasion, addictive dark patterns, locked-down platforms, general enshittification etc.).
But this state of affairs, while unfortunate and lamentably gross waste, does not feel terminal. It is very unfullfiling beyond superficial sugar rushes and essentially hostile to the user-product being exploited. Especially so for the talented people that itch to get their hands dirty.
Informed and able minorities are what moves the needle, not dazed and confused masses. The history of (online) computing does not end here. It is still very early days.
I think its a fair point to say that most of humanity will probably be dead within 20-30 years. You have far more destructive people in positions that only make survival less likely, compared to the intelligent ones.
The people who made things work will die of old age or withdraw their support (on strike), LLM's will prevent new workers from developing the same expertise (since entry level positions will be removed).
Systems that have stood strong as oaks for centuries will suddenly fail, and with that collapse so too goes the food production.
Non-market socialist systems don't work, but you get those same systems during currency collapse (where ponzi outflows exceed inflows, or debt growth exceeds gdp).
No one knows a thing because socialism has done its dirty work, having captured academia over the past 50+ years, and indoctrinated the masses.
The benefits were front-loaded (as all ponzi's are), and it happened slow enough that no one noticed over multiple generations, and the generation that got the most benefit won't cede political power (they took power in the 1990s, and remain the majority today). They'll give it up only once its pried from the dead hands, which will come from natural aging.
Menticide from the Totalitarian state has a deleterious effect, making it harder for people to see the problems to take any action. Joost wrote extensively about this with regards to the Nazi's and Mao.
What we are seeing today is hubris and a natural consequence of ignoring lesson's learned.
To be exposed to ideas and observations that may be outside your normal perception.
Forewarning of the issues when it matters, following rational principle, is being forearmed in preparation (should you choose to act on that warning and hedge your survival bets for yourself and loved ones).
Those that accurately predict and prepare survive. Those that don't are culled when the environment becomes disadvantaged towards survival.
There is always an element of chance, but adaptation and flexibility greatly bias towards continued persistence.
I run a website and that doesn’t seem to be the case. Some things don’t fit into a TikTok video. Some things can’t be answered by ChatGPT. People still search for things and find me.
> paying kagi customer here! Keep it up, kagi! I still love and need you!
What is it with the Kagi sycophancy on this site? Right now there's yet another discussion on the front page full of glowing Kagi adoration interspersed with some reality checks about the actual quality of the search results. I understand that Kagi is a Y-Combinator company but does it have to be laid on so thickly?
As to what I use for search: a self-hosted SearxNG (a meta-search engine, i.e. it proxies search results from other search engines) instance (started with Searx but followed when development moved there) combined with Recoll for local search, recoll-webui and the recoll 'engine' to integrate results into SearxNG. I also experimented with YaCy (a fully self-hosted search engine with its own web crawler) but have not gotten useable results yet, the system seems to get bogged down once the index grows behind a certain size.
Just try it, I guess. I was also sceptical and ran my own search engine and at one time I was even pitching people a paid indexing service that would allow people to self-host their search engine and by pooling money they gain world-class crawling.
But in the end, I noticed that for me, improving search results is mostly about suppressing garbage. Kagi lets me filter out Pinterest and some of the worst SEO spam farms. And with them gone, the results already feel much better.
I'd guess Kagi is popular here because they sell what people crave.
It really reminds me of Roam Research, which was also an overpriced, niche product that was unavoidable for quite some time in these circles. Now if you google it (or kagi it?) you just see a bunch of reddit posts asking if Roam is dead.
You'd think Kagi has millions of paying users, and not ~33k, seemingly half of which are on HN.
Hopefully this time around they don't actually start referring to their community as a cult like Roam did.
Didn't even know they were a ycombinator company and now that I do I like them a lot less.
I am not a sycophant. Just a happy customer. And happy to have the chance to be a customer, not just a data point. I love kagi trying to serve me, with actual usefulness, instead of serving some dark marketplace of advertisers that have no interest in my wellbeing.
I've come to realize the same thing. I was found the "boomer" thing to look for restaurants on Google Maps, then I realized younger people use Tiktok for this now. And here I thought Tiktok was for just for memes and funny videos.
In China, there's WeChat, which is basically the everything app, from chat, to food delivery, to ecommerce, payment, and even navigation. Normally, that would violate App Store guidelines, but they are dominant enough in the Chinese market that Apple caved in and granted them special permissions.
Don't forget indoctrination and demoralization for thought reform as well.
Beams marxist reeducation right into every teen's life in subtle ways.
There's good reason its being considered a national security threat when all user data is being shipped through China, and their businesses are a government partnership.
Political Warfare and Subversion are real and difficult issues to deal with given our 'open' society.
It should because anytime austerity, or other diverse circumstances happen where life is on the line, these are the first people that end up dying and worst the responsibility for the travesty is entirely on the previous generation in terms of political power. These are summer childs, and winter is coming.
People aren't naturally stupid. Its a long process of drugs and torture that makes them like that. Only the drugs are flouride and dopamine, and the torture is arbitrary struggle sessions built into every process to eliminate rational reason and thought where they have to interact with it in society during critical identity formation periods (permanently damaging them).
No doubt there will likely be a great dying in the near future. You can only kick the can so many different times in cycles before those cycles all line up at the same time. Mother nature is a bitch, and the unprepared die when safety nets fail.
The first most important and crucial tool for survival is having your brain and knowing how to reason following rational first principles and thought.
The only moment these kids use a search engine is when they do homework. In any and every other moment they just search "locally" in TikTok, or insta.
It scares the shit out of me.
(Edit: paying kagi customer here! Keep it up, kagi! I still love and need you!)