This, it is like when I hear interviews of PHDs talking about AI and they mention something like "AI will be smarter than humans", I am like "really?, where have you been all this time?, do you smart people ever leave your labs and go see the real world?, LLMs are already smarter that the huge majority of Humans in this planet, what are you talking about?"
I know it won't be in the holistic or deep philosophical way but even by just predicting the next token without any real sense of the real world LLMs are already capable of simulating basic reasoning which a lot of people lacks, I mean even the 7B llama2 model can tell you the Earth ain't flat... go figure.
They are starting to be smarter at both analyzing images and speech as well. They’re still behind on simple reasoning (eg. O1-preview), but it’s catching up quickly.
Obviously these models still have trouble interfacing with the real world.
I think the answer to this question might actually be yes, but I think there are plenty of things humans can do while walking that AI can't do at all. At least, not yet.
