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“Being X is a sign of Y” doesn’t imply “Being Y is a sign of X.”


exactly, (X => Y) <=> (!Y => !X) should be more known


Eh? (P(X|Y)>P(X) iff P(Y|X)>P(Y)) whenever all the relevant probabilities (P(X), P(Y), P(X and Y), etc.) are strictly positive and strictly less than 1.

Now, X might be much stronger evidence for Y than Y is for X, but if Y is evidence for X, then (assuming the previously mentioned assumption) then X is evidence for Y, even if only very weak.


Yes but the comment being responded to stated “but there are Y that are not X” which was categorical.


Sorry, I don’t understand this point. What’s the interpretation of your previous message (in light of that) which makes it true?




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