LLM coding stuff is interesting. Sonnet is a class apart and I think I’ve upgraded it to unqualified “useful” on certain tasks.
But good luck trying to measure or even speculate about the impact that has on the market for software people.
The big picture is geopolitics (which is crazy right now), and then monetary policy (which has been all over the place for years and years), then politics and fiscal policy implications (which is crazy as hell right now), then this recent trend towards just brutally bare-fanged go-for-broke class warfare Thiel shit where FAANG is “tightening its belt” and smashing EPS simultaneously (boomeranging people for less RSUs and shit) with products that are now basically loathed but sticky like a stalker.
And all the quasi-consensus benchmarks of who’s even good are shot to hell: YC is funding Pear, Google can’t ship an LLM anyone wants, Amazon is just dark patterns and price fixing, they legendary shops just aren’t good anymore. Some of the best hackers I’ve met in decades are under-appreciated if they even have work, and “culture fit” (sociopath) knuckleheads are turning down windfalls.
It’s a fucking casino in 2024 and AI coding is a blip on this scale.
@dang I hate to push the point but I’m a real stickler for the vulnerable getting signal boosted rather than shouted down.
Maybe it is just legit flags that bury everything from Garry Tan tweeting “die motherfucker die” to elected officials, or Mike Seibel defrauding Autodesk with claims that SocialCam had novel technology before vesting in Thailand and ignoring emails for a year, or Emmett cashing out just in time for Twitch to fly into the side of a mountain, or for Altman to have been rescued from his abject incompetence via pg and Conway rigging up Green Dot. It goes on and on, and that’s for people who dismiss out of hand the allegations of sexual assault.
I’ve not only lived in the same building as Drew Houston, I’ve held his head when he was vomitting up mystery pills in Tahoe: and there is no evidence I’ve ever seen that any of these people are any good at anything other than “becoming powerful” to quote Paul.
I’ve just barely scratched the surface of the perversity, criminality, and sociopathy of the Culture Fit in 2024.
You’re one of the good guys, and I don’t envy the head that wears the crown on being both scrupulously fair and painting YC in a good light.
I know that it’s a small moderation team and that 3 humans don’t have the speed and clarity of an Azure IPv4 block.
But if you tell me that 3-5 is still the right number of people who can flag something dead while the community has grown by 7 orders of magnitude, no sir.
Flags are OP as fuck because you can count on the lie that comp.lang.lisp being hostile in bytes was worse than the contemporary fact that the Valley ends people’s livelihoods and smiles the whole time.
But good luck trying to measure or even speculate about the impact that has on the market for software people.
The big picture is geopolitics (which is crazy right now), and then monetary policy (which has been all over the place for years and years), then politics and fiscal policy implications (which is crazy as hell right now), then this recent trend towards just brutally bare-fanged go-for-broke class warfare Thiel shit where FAANG is “tightening its belt” and smashing EPS simultaneously (boomeranging people for less RSUs and shit) with products that are now basically loathed but sticky like a stalker.
And all the quasi-consensus benchmarks of who’s even good are shot to hell: YC is funding Pear, Google can’t ship an LLM anyone wants, Amazon is just dark patterns and price fixing, they legendary shops just aren’t good anymore. Some of the best hackers I’ve met in decades are under-appreciated if they even have work, and “culture fit” (sociopath) knuckleheads are turning down windfalls.
It’s a fucking casino in 2024 and AI coding is a blip on this scale.