There is little to no research that shows modern AI can perform even the most simple long-running task without training data on that exact problem.
To my knowledge, there is no current AI system that can replace a white collar worker in any multistep task. The only thing they can do is support the worker.
Most jobs are safe for the forseable future. If your job is highly repetitive and a company can produce a perfect dataset of it, I'd worry.
Jobs like a factory worker and call center support are in danger. But the work is perfectly monitorable.
Watch the GAIA benchmark. It's not nearly the complexity of a real-world job, but it would signal the start of an actual agentic system being possible.
To my knowledge, there is no current AI system that can replace a white collar worker in any multistep task. The only thing they can do is support the worker.
Most jobs are safe for the forseable future. If your job is highly repetitive and a company can produce a perfect dataset of it, I'd worry.
Jobs like a factory worker and call center support are in danger. But the work is perfectly monitorable.
Watch the GAIA benchmark. It's not nearly the complexity of a real-world job, but it would signal the start of an actual agentic system being possible.