Lots of companies are directly involved with LLMs, or working to leverage it for startups or their existing projects. And I think a fair chunk of all the employees working at these places probably post on HN (a crazy high percent of the recent batches of YC applicants were using LLM stuff, for instance). That's going to lead to a sizable number of perspectives and opinions that are not especially free of bias, simply because you want to believe that what you're working on is ultimately viable.
And I think it'd be extremely easy to convince oneself of this. Look at where 'AI' was 5 years ago, look at where it is today and then try to imagine where it will be in another 5 years. Of course you have to completely blind yourself to the fact that the acceleration has clearly sharply stalled out, but humans are really good at cognitive dissonance, especially when your perception of your future depends on it.
And there's also the point that even though I'm extremely critical of LLMs in general, they have absolutely 'transformed' my workflow in that natural language search of documentation is really useful. Being able to describe a desired API, but in an overly broad way that a search engine can't really pick up on, but that an LLM [often] can, is just quite handy. On the other hand, this is more a condemnation of search engine tech being frozen 20 years in the past than it is about an imminent LLM revolution.
And I think it'd be extremely easy to convince oneself of this. Look at where 'AI' was 5 years ago, look at where it is today and then try to imagine where it will be in another 5 years. Of course you have to completely blind yourself to the fact that the acceleration has clearly sharply stalled out, but humans are really good at cognitive dissonance, especially when your perception of your future depends on it.
And there's also the point that even though I'm extremely critical of LLMs in general, they have absolutely 'transformed' my workflow in that natural language search of documentation is really useful. Being able to describe a desired API, but in an overly broad way that a search engine can't really pick up on, but that an LLM [often] can, is just quite handy. On the other hand, this is more a condemnation of search engine tech being frozen 20 years in the past than it is about an imminent LLM revolution.