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> There are hundreds of billions of dollars figuring out how to get to the next level, and it's clear we are close.

Are we really now?

The smart people I've spoken to on the subject seem to agree the current technology based on LLM are at the end of the road and that there are no breakthrough in sight.

So what is your take on the next level?




Define breakthrough, there's plenty of room to scale and optimize without any need for a breakthrough (well my definition of breakthrough). Emergent properties so far have been obtained purely from scaling.


There will be no more progress via scaling. All the available training data has already been exploited.




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