Unless Sam has managed to fool a bucket load of smart people, your prediction is very unlikely to be true (or rather, I don't want it to be true). Fuck.
It's not a prediction; it's a general comment that one shouldn't assume too much based on a limited number of datapoints, in this case someone who doesn't "know him well".
This works in two directions, by the way. In 2001 few would have expected that Bill Gates would spend much of his time on philanthropy. Is he a "good" or "bad" person? Well, he's both.
He may not be fooling anyone. As someone else noted, if his interests and yours align you may be willing to look past his "badness". For example, Miles Bridges in the NBA. Seems like a genuinely bad guy who just got recactivated by an NBA team -- why? Probably because he can help them win games. I can almost guarantee no member of the front office would let their daughter date him, but they don't need him to be good for him to make them money.