I'm not sure if that analogy holds any more given that neural nets scale with time and data. If that was happening with a neural net chess engine, the difference between beating Caplan and beating Kasparov is measured in maybe a couple of days. Google's Go AI only ever lost a game to Lee Sedol, then immediately moved a long way into superhuman territory with a bit more training.
The gap between novice human and expert human looks quite small to a computer. If it can outperform a novice, it isn't far off beating an expert.
I'm not sure if that analogy holds any more given that neural nets scale with time and data. If that was happening with a neural net chess engine, the difference between beating Caplan and beating Kasparov is measured in maybe a couple of days. Google's Go AI only ever lost a game to Lee Sedol, then immediately moved a long way into superhuman territory with a bit more training.
The gap between novice human and expert human looks quite small to a computer. If it can outperform a novice, it isn't far off beating an expert.