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Would this really be telling us anything? Presumably, they've chosen 5-sigma for a good reason (they make so many observations?). So what would a 3-sigma result signify?



At three or four sigmas we could be pretty sure it's true. At five sigmas we're willing to bet the next generation of scientific research on it.


The LHC has two independent detector/teams: Atlas y CMS. Each one announced last December "evidence" of the existence of the Higgs Boson with a mass near ~125GeV, with a ~3 sigma significance. This is another ~3 sigma result in the same range from a different laboratory.

Combining naively the three results we get a ~sqr(3)3=~5 sigma significance. The real combination methods are more difficult, and probably involve a few Ph.D. thesis. But if someone that really knows about the subject does the calculations and get a 5 sigma result, I wouldn’t be very surprised. So another 3 sigma result in the same region is very interesting.

For the official result, I think that it is difficult to combine the results of different laboratories. Each laboratory will continue to get more data and try to get it own 5 sigma result, probably next year.




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