I dislike the metaphor of luck. None of this is luck. All of this work is taking common opportunities and making them great.
Does it increase your chance of being “lucky”? No, it increases your chance of being visible. Visibility is not luck. You’re not lucky, you are more visible.
You are seizing the opportunity many others do not by building in public. Many do not because people online can suck and tear you down. But if you can get over that, you are seizing the opportunity, not being lucky.
I agree with you that visibility is not luck, but I do think being visibility increases luck!
When someone _comes to me_ with an opportunity, of course I want to seize it. But I can't control them _coming to me._ I can control how visible I am, which increases the odds that people will know about me, know what I'm good at, think about me for an opportunity, etc.
Perceived from the outside, I am lucky! "Wow, I can't believe [XYZ] contacted you about writing that library for them, you're so lucky." And in a way, that is luck. Something unexpected and good (definition from the article) landed in my lap. Of course looking back I can tie it all together: I published Thing A and Person B saw it who forwarded it on to Company C. See, no luck involved, strictly causal. So maybe it's a matter of perspective or semantics, but I think using the word "luck" is a helpful way to communicate the idea!
> Many do not because people online can suck and tear you down.
I don't think the opportunities come reliably. Also the people online might suck or they might not. All of this has its own reasons of happening or not happening, and from an individual's own perspective, luck works well as a device to make sense of these events. Luck itslef doesn't need to really exist for this to work, like how dark matter also probably doesn't exist as such, but it works as a concept.
Does it increase your chance of being “lucky”? No, it increases your chance of being visible. Visibility is not luck. You’re not lucky, you are more visible.
You are seizing the opportunity many others do not by building in public. Many do not because people online can suck and tear you down. But if you can get over that, you are seizing the opportunity, not being lucky.