Fair enough on the petrodollar system, but that seems to be on the way out.
> Inertia is an asset. Incumbents have the advantage. Network effects matter. BTC benefits from this phenomenon as well.
You're repeating what I said in different words; this is the impredicativity I refer to. The dollar is valuable because it is valuable. Same with Bitcoin.
This is not an apples to apples comparison. They're not even in the same galaxy.
USD does not wipe out hundreds of billions, nearly a trillion, in value in the span of a few days.
BTC has no defense against antagonistic nation states that decide to make it illegal for average citizens to own crypto, such as BTC in China, or those that just decide to make it exceeding difficult to exchange for their national currency electronically. Bonus pressure points if your currency happens to also be the prevailing global reserve currency.
Literally tomorrow the feds could tell Coinbase, Kraken, et al, games up, your asset class is primarily used to facilitate ransomware, drug trafficking, and money laundering, including transactions that involve deeply sanctioned nations like North Korea or Russia, therefore we will no longer allow crypto <=> USD transfers on any platform.
The banks these platforms use to secure USD funds would fall in line immediately.
Poof, the vast majority of retail investors that prop up the price of BTC no longer have access to it.
Countries have tried many different strategies over the years to not conduct international trade primarily via USD, but despite the massive benefits should they achieve that, they've always come up short. BTC especially so. Just ask el Salvador.
My general point here is that crypto enthusiasts are far, far too dismissive of the power of the pen, and the big old brick buildings, and the militaries that support these institutions.
Like other upstarts before, crypto will be bent to suit the needs of humans. And not just an elite, neo-feudal class of early adopters. Assuming it doesn't just implode on its own merit in the meantime.
> Inertia is an asset. Incumbents have the advantage. Network effects matter. BTC benefits from this phenomenon as well.
You're repeating what I said in different words; this is the impredicativity I refer to. The dollar is valuable because it is valuable. Same with Bitcoin.