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I believe most of the deaths in the US were not actually early. They were in that May-October range were there was just... yeah.

Edit: data https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores...

My old area under the curve skills require a bit more than a mark 1 eyeball. But most of it seems to be later, but there was an April spike.




They have a cumulative deaths option on their Covid data (the link is scaled to population, there's a toggle for that on the graph header).

https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explor...

The low China numbers prior to Omicron certainly seem to be a result of successful containment, I guess we will find out more over the next months about how Omicron goes (and whether they report it accurately).




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