Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

The CDC reports 16.3 flu/pneumonia deaths per 100,000 [0]. That's 0.0163 percent.

Johns Hopkins University reports covid-19 has 278.89 deaths per 100,000 - a 1.2% mortality rate in the US [1].

That would put covid-19 at 278.89/16.3 = ~17 times more deadly than the flu. Just because the numbers don't hold for a particular age group doesn't make the aggregate statement false. In fact, it would be misleading to categorize "17 times more deadly" as anything other than "more deadly."

Edit: I made a mistake dividing the percentages the first go around, reporting covid-19 as 73 times more deadly than influenza. I have updated the 3rd paragraph to show the calculations directly.

[0]: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/flu.htm

[1]: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality




That is misinformation. The actual COVID-19 infection fatality rate calculated by the CDC is 0.6%, not 1.2%.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd...


The JHU site that’s linked is reporting case fatality rates, not infection fatality rates

It’s also not estimating case under-reporting like CDC is

I think jumping straight to misinformation is a bit strong here, but it’s important to make fair comparisons and discuss the context of the stats along with the raw numbers


So only ~36x more deadly!




Join us for AI Startup School this June 16-17 in San Francisco!

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: