Just about any basic physical system. If you zoom into our universe enough, down to the quantum level, you’ll find completely unpredictable chaos and complexity. But just because the quantum world is pretty much unpredictable doesn’t mean the macro world is unpredictable.
A climate model can’t you whether or not is going to rain in exactly 300 years time, but it can tell you how much rain will fall during an entire year, 300 years from now.
Climate modelling is macro scale modelling to weathers quantum scale modelling. You’re operating at entirely different scales, and further you zoom out, the more you can ignore the minutia and still produce useful predictions.
Additionally taking about absolute time periods is the wrong approach. The real question is now many time steps can your model take before it starts to significantly diverge from reality. A car collision simulation will be operating with time steps measured in milliseconds to nanoseconds, a climate model in time steps measured in days to weeks. Both of these models will probably be predicting a similar number of time steps into the future, and both will have a similar number of quantised simulation areas. For the car you’re simplifying cubes measured in millimetres, for climate, zones measured in km.
Again, climate models have been measured, tested and repeatedly proven their predictive power. If empirical results aren’t enough to convince you, then what is?
A climate model can’t you whether or not is going to rain in exactly 300 years time, but it can tell you how much rain will fall during an entire year, 300 years from now.
Climate modelling is macro scale modelling to weathers quantum scale modelling. You’re operating at entirely different scales, and further you zoom out, the more you can ignore the minutia and still produce useful predictions.
Additionally taking about absolute time periods is the wrong approach. The real question is now many time steps can your model take before it starts to significantly diverge from reality. A car collision simulation will be operating with time steps measured in milliseconds to nanoseconds, a climate model in time steps measured in days to weeks. Both of these models will probably be predicting a similar number of time steps into the future, and both will have a similar number of quantised simulation areas. For the car you’re simplifying cubes measured in millimetres, for climate, zones measured in km.
Again, climate models have been measured, tested and repeatedly proven their predictive power. If empirical results aren’t enough to convince you, then what is?