I think the 'no more opportunity' point was largely correct. America is now developed in much the way England was in 1922. It does mean the limitless opportunity of 100 years ago is gone for the vast majority. But it also means the majority are far wealthier than they were. As he predicts, people only work 7-8 hours a day now, and often only 5 days a week. 50-60 hours a week was the norm in 1920. But at the same time, people do feel that lack of opportunity.

For a prediction made 100 years out, I'd call it dead accurate.

> "the child is likely to be taken over by the State"

I'd be interested what daycare and school looked like in 1922, because arguably childcare is mostly state run at this point

In 1920,

* the high school graduation rate was around 16%. (Up from below 10% in 1910!)

* only 8 million women were in the labor force

* Child labor laws either actually or functionally did not exist (the major federal laws were not passed in the 30s.)

* The industrial revolution was in full swing, but huge swaths of the labor economy were still very agrarian.

For the working class, early childhood care was provided by mothers and beyond that daycare/schooling was provided by the factories and farm fields.

I wonder how he expected the American race to be homogeneous with segregation. He was probably implicitly meaning all the new European immigrants.