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Many deaths in a certain age group above 65 y.o.. Most age groups had very few deaths.



In your opinion, how important are the lives of people aged 65 and older?

Also, for death rates being higher in the elderly... isn't that going to be true for most diseases? Pointing this out seems tautological to me.

And what does "very few" actually mean here?

Is death the only negative outcome of COVID-19?


> In your opinion, how important are the lives of people aged 65 and older?

I think you intended that as a rhetorical question but I want to point out that in the UK the NHS has calculated the "worth" of a single quality-adjusted life year. If a treatment gives less quality-adjusted extra life years than it costs, it isn't administered. In 2014 it was £20-60k [1]. This shows the NHS definitely does consider older peoples' lives worth less than younger peoples', on average.

[1] https://www.bbc.com/news/health-28983924


Understood, though I'd point out that other insurance schemes will have similar sorts of calculations (either directly or indirectly in the form of premiums/annual limits in the US), so the specificity of the NHS isn't particularly helpful here, as it's one model among many.

Also, based on my casual skimming of this article: https://www.nice.org.uk/process/pmg6/chapter/assessing-cost-..., this particular model evaluates other factors beyond age (such as health history) and is in the context of providing specific treatments for specific conditions rather than broader actions for disease prevention.

But yes, my question was rhetorical, in the sense that I've read far too much casual acceptance of the deaths of older people on HN, as if this ~15% of the population [in the US at least] are freely expendable.


> I've read far too much casual acceptance of the deaths of older people on HN, as if this ~15% of the population [in the US at least] are freely expendable.

I don't think most people on HN implying such things mean to say old people are freely expendable, but rather that they should not be saved at _all cost_. Our non-pharmaceutical interventions have a cost associated with them too, so we have to strike a balance that's acceptable. The debate to me is ultimately over where the line is. It's not helped that the true costs of lockdowns etc. (or indeed the true cost of not locking down) are not actually all that clear. One consequence is that debates over policies such as these have happened without reliable figures on both sides, and have therefore descended into unconstructive emotional arguments.


I agree, most people aren’t saying that (my wording was “too much”). I also suspect that the majority of people on all sides are not arguing whether or not to save lives at “all cost” —- this seems to be a partisan distortion of the actual debate that is occurring among serious people (much like the similarly egregious “granny killer” reference elsewhere in these comments).

There are real arguments and a real, valid debate here on the limits of a government’s influence upon its citizens, while also fulfilling its tacit obligation to maintain a reasonably stable society in a chaotic world, and in a form where its citizens are free to assemble other organizations with their own forms of governance and capacity to encourage actions among their own members. But the debate seems to be projected onto a shape increasing in magnitude, but decreasing in dimension, flatting nuanced arguments into more extreme, tangential versions of themselves. People end up speaking different languages, where all words contain other tacit assumptions which are unstated but differ greatly depending on the speaker/listener.

It’s hard to find a good discussion nowadays.


Well said. As for a good place to discuss this stuff, my view is that, to misappropriate the Churchill quote, HN is the worst place I've found for debating COVID matters except for all the other places I've found. At least most people here, being predominantly from scientific and engineering backgrounds, are capable of and willing to remove emotion from debate and assess the biases inherent in arguments on both sides.


I'm tired of people pretending that everyone on the planet is expendable except Americans.

There are elderly people dying in other countries and perfectly healthy Americans are lining up for the vaccines and acting righteous about saving granny when the reality is they're doing it in their own self-interest.


On a reread, I see that my comment is ambiguous and could have suggested that I believe Americans were more worth protecting. Sorry for that, I didn’t intend that reading. >15% of the US population is >=6 age 65. I’m more familiar with US numbers so I used that.


You can find CDC estimates of deaths by age group here.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd...


Here's a much more clear data set.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1191568/reported-deaths-...

To put this into perspective... 36,000 people died of car accidents in 2019.

In the under 50 group around 20,000 people died of Covid.

The under 50 age group makes up around 80% of the population.

Interpret that however you want.


If people truly cared about the elderly, they would be forgoing the vaccine so that elderly people in other countries could have their dose.

No one cares one bit about anyone, except for the people that are close to them.

Anyone who tells you otherwise is trying to gas light you for their own self interest.


Isn't the same true of 9/11? The FAA oversees 45,000 flights per year and very rarely does anyone die.


Too late to edit, but that should be 45,000 per DAY


In the 18-39 age group, COVID-19 has caused 4x as many US deaths as deaths in all age groups on 9/11.


[flagged]


I disagree with you, even in your hypothetical situation. I'd gladly wear a mask to protect 97-year-old obese smokers, if they were a vulnerable group. I feel like you invented this group to distance the vulnerable population from "us", but it just makes it sound like you have no empathy for other humans.


There are people with severe immune deficiencies that any disease they catch could kill them.

Why aren't you wearing a full body haz mat suit to protect them?

Do you think people with immune deficiencies lives are worth less and its okay to kill them?

Where do you draw the line where it's okay to kill some people with your bodily diseases but not others?


I don't claim to have all the answers, but I think wearing a mask is a reasonable accommodation and barely an inconvenience. Same goes for FDA-approved vaccines.

Reductio ad absurdum doesn't always work in the real world, so your hazmat scenario just sounds silly.


Going to gym is barely an inconvenience. Mortality would have been minimal if fat people would jump on a treadmill occasionally and keep the cheeseburgers out of their face.

"What is inconvenient" is subjective and that's the ultimate slippery slope argument.

Your argument and thinking is so so bad, I feel like I'm being trolled.


What is your problem?

Obesity is not a communicable disease.

I regret feeding the troll.


It absolutely is.

Fat food directly causes obesity.

Obesity is communicable from fat foods.

By your strange logic we need to ban fat foods because they hurt people.


Let me summarize your argument.

"Your haz mat argument is silly because I say it is. My argument is not silly because I say it's not."

This absolute state of critical thinking in America...

I can't wait till the media stops covering covid and everyone forgets that covid exists because they're on to the next thing the medium easily manipulates them over.


My point is that your attempt at a logical argument misses a number of externalities. My refusal to engage is because you're acting like a jerk, not because I can't construct a proof.

While you marvel at the "state of critical thinking" I am astounded by your lack of empathy.


I literally pointed out externalities you were missing.

Its hopeless conversation.




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