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I’ve seen risk deaggregarion at work and wonder if it stems from how easy it is to shoot an idea down with a counter example.

E.g. Should we switch from “status quo” to “change”? Good idea, but if we move to “change” then “this one bad thing will happen”.

A solution might be to use the lieutenant’s cloud, an idea I learned on a thinking course.

With this you simply ask why “bad thing” and then offer a suggestion that solves the why, not necessarily the bad thing.

This is probably easier to do at a closed organisation. In the public eye with an emotive topic like possibility of child abduction, a lot of sensitivity is needed.



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