Trumps record with Hispanics is only average even grading on a curve and life isn't graded on a curve. Objectively 32% is garbage. Trump got only an average of 25% of nonwhite voters and 58% of white voters in 2020.
Once you have as many nonwhite voters as white you need 43% of the non white vote plus 58% of the white vote to win the popular vote.
"The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) is an agreement among a group of U.S. states and the District of Columbia to award all their electoral votes to whichever presidential candidate wins the overall popular vote in the 50 states and the District of Columbia."
Am I the only person who sees these two lines as a tremendously stinging rebuke to the Democratic Party and the progressives in particular given what an utterly deplorable individual the incumbent and those who surrounded him were? Sounds like a growth opportunity for the Republicans more than a crisis, which speaks volumes about how the progressive message is being perceived among minorities they are claiming to be helping.
While you are hopefully grasping at 2 data points as if they were a trend their portion of the black vote has been almost exclusively exploring the territory between 8 and 14% for 40 while Hispanic vote has been mostly exploring the 25-35 territory with the exception of one glorious trip north of 40 in GW Bush's second term.
This isn't a stinging rebuke of the progressive agenda its just an example of a certain percentage either buying what Trump or Republicans are selling or prioritizing conservative values like sexual or reproductive issues over other concerns. It was and is inevitable.
The thought process that if an odious man like Trump can garner 32%/12% then a more reasonable person could do better isn't I think correct.
Half of the grand old party has gone off the deep end. A more reasonable person will never make it through the primary in the first place because the crazies wont let it happen and if they did then for every thinking mans vote they obtained they would lose 2 crazy. Take a look at Donald Trump you are looking at peak Republican. If you wanted to make a monument to Republican presidents you could start the tour with Lincoln and end with Trump because he is either the last Republican president or the father of the first dictatorship.
"Reasonable" doesn't have anything to do with it. The thought process is that a smarter but equally deplorable candidate would be able to able to tailor and segregate their messaging so that each subgroup hears what they want to hear, uniting both the center and the far right to secure the presidency. Trump was only good at telling the crazies what they wanted to hear because he wasn't that smart; a skilled politician is good at telling everybody what they want to hear.
Much as I would be happy about the end of the Republican party, thinking that they're finished or don't know what they need to do to win again is fantasy. The Democrats need to distance themselves from antagonistic progressiveism that is driving voters into the arms of the Republicans immediately or they stand a pretty good chance of losing future elections. That is what the minority voting numbers of 2020 show.
Hispanics and Black Vote for Republican Party
2020:32% 12%
2016:28% 8%
2012:27% 6%
2008: 31% 4%
2004: 44% 11%
2000: 35% 9%
1996: 21% 12%
1992: 25% 10%
1988: 30% 11%
1984: 34% 9%
1980: 37% 14%
Trumps record with Hispanics is only average even grading on a curve and life isn't graded on a curve. Objectively 32% is garbage. Trump got only an average of 25% of nonwhite voters and 58% of white voters in 2020.
Once you have as many nonwhite voters as white you need 43% of the non white vote plus 58% of the white vote to win the popular vote.
"The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) is an agreement among a group of U.S. states and the District of Columbia to award all their electoral votes to whichever presidential candidate wins the overall popular vote in the 50 states and the District of Columbia."
https://www.nationalpopularvote.com/
This is the crisis for the republicans not the fake crisis of perpetual riots, BLM, or hordes of brown people crossing the border.
The best republican performance in history with with nonwhite voters was 39% in 1956 and its just not good enough.