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go look at the investments into the market 98 early 2000s in the market and how they underperformed for about a decade. (look at the NYT visualization you were commenting on). Adjust it for inflation.

My point is that investing at the peak of the market will not generate returns unless you unload before the market goes down. Now who knows if the equity markets are going to get clipped (or rather when) ... timing is fickle.

Also, selling on good years makes your performance exceptionally good.

I guess TL; DR. Either sell in the good years around nowish if you've generated a return as equity markets are frothy or be prepared to hold a long time to generate a return [statement for S&P index not individual stocks] assuming the future follows some of the past patterns (sample size is small though to be fair).




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