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> the next protracted drawdown

We should have seen this drawdown last year.




The longer the bubble builds the bigger the bust. We’ve chosen growth over stability, fundamentals, and robustness. Once the U.S. struggles to stimulate its economy through deficit spending it’ll hit a wall. It’ll be fine for people but there will be a massive dislocation in the economy.


This is an argument in favor of pushing up inflation as soon as possible. Ideally inflation should be 2% and interest rates should be between 3-4% and it should stay that way forever.

If there is a discrepancy from that ideal then it means that something is going wrong, and the longer that discrepancy lasts, the more things are going wrong. Those wrong things will be discovered as soon as interest rates are back to their normal level.


Why those magic numbers?


As long as people are still unemployed there should be no reason for the US with its sovereign currency to struggle stimulating the economy.

Even if you guys would overshoot full employment your current president doesn't seem too frightened by the idea of taxing coins out of existence again.


I understand this. I'd much rather deal with the bad decisions of yesterday today than tomorrow. I guess for people that won't be alive in twenty years this is immaterial..


Check out the ages of elected officials, most are in the "won't be alive in twenty years" camp so the lack of foresight is unsurprising.


That is part of my reasoning behind my statement. The other part is the desires and concerns of the largest demographics electing these same people.




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