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Predicting March Madness: On Tournament Structure and Bracket Scoring Rules (smellthedata.com)
8 points by danger on March 8, 2011 | hide | past | favorite | 3 comments



The bit about choosing good loss functions is a nice general point that I find is ignored in many machine learning set ups: if you're going to work so hard making a model optimize some objective, make sure it's the right objective!


Thanks. I (obviously) agree. The only problem is that it's not always computationally easy to optimize the thing you really care about.


Totally. It often becomes a trade-off of doing an alright job, e.g. approximately, optimizing the loss you're really interested in vs. doing a great job optimizing a tangentially related but much less appropriate loss.




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