1. I am a scientist. This sure doesn't seem like science to me.
Reasons to buy the book:
1. I am too ignorant to be pessimistic.
2. The source of the suggestion. Ryan's judgement usually seems pretty sound.
Two reasons are better than one. Just bought the book.
I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday.
What does it mean that the book is not scientific? It's just a tool. Is a spade scientific?
You only need scientific method to organize observations. There are no observations here. There's nothing scientific about 'discipline', but it's still useful.
The approach taken in writing the book was not scientific. There were no studies to determine if the phrases and methodology actually work better than a placebo (whatever that would be...lorem ipsum?). It's possible that this approach is no better than anything else, and it only seems to have a positive effect on people because it's what they happened to be doing.
Not being scientific doesn't mean it doesn't work. Plenty of tools and techniques have been invented and developed without science that turn out to be effective when subjected to scientific analysis (example: many plants used for medicinal purposes). It seems to me, though, that many more turn out to be hogwash (examples: many plants used for medicinal purposes, blood-letting, homeopathy, prayer-as-treatment).
In short, P(tool developed w/ science is effective) > P(tool developed w/o science is effective), and I don't know of a methodology more effective than science for determining the effectiveness of a tool or technique.
P(tool developed w/ science is effective) > P(tool developed w/o science is effective)
Agreed, but there was no claim to science, at least from the description.
To me the original article seemed to air an opinion.
Asking 'where's the science?' is akin to asking for proof, which makes no sense when we're discussing opinions.
To me, "it's unproven" is just unfavorable opinion without articulating reasons. So I don't think it should get a vote in edw's comment :)
(upvoted you, btw. You were at -1. Downvoting such a high-quality comment is a classic example of voting by agreement. I think I'm going to start a site highlighting the stupidest votes on HN everyday..)
Thanks. This isn't the first time I've made a thoughtful reply to a "science isn't important" comment. The last time, my comment didn't get as many upvotes as its parent, so I'm not too surprised that my comment wasn't received well this time, either.
To you, "it's unproven" is not a valid reason for rejecting this book. But it is a valid reason for many other people, especially since it takes a great deal of commitment to use this (unproven) tool.
Full disclosure, I just bought the book :) Would still really like to see it proven effective by science, but am not putting the burden of proof on anyone in particular (original author is dead) nor holding my breath.
I completely agree, and I would love to see some evidence like this, one way or another. However, I'm not going to avoid trying it out in the absence of scientific evidence. That's just not an effective way to live, and we have an array of tools to evaluate things where science hasn't yet poked its nose. For example, if someone posts a link to a library or framework that they really enjoyed and found useful in a project, we don't avoid it until we find a study comparing it to a control group. No, we try it out, we look at the advice of those we trust, we look at what others have done with it, etc.
There are more questions in the world than science can ever hope to address, and sometimes you have to make a decision with limited information.
And we also do the science ourselves by trying it and sharing our observations, as you did. Thanks for the link, and I hope it works for me!
Edit: oh, and I said pretty much the same thing as you just did in another of my replies[1]. Maybe I didn't put enough disclaimers in my original post?
There are plenty of things that science has shown can work in the areas of motivation, discipline, etc., that one would think it would at least make sense to look there first.
Is "plenty of things" enough to post a link to some? Do you practice any of these things? Otherwise, your comment does not add much to the discussion (and hence the down votes, I think).
I did in another comment: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1938239, and anyone with rudimentary Google skills should be able to find others, but my comment here is that in this area there are so many things put forth as useful with no evidence but that this is also an area where many people doing real science are finding things of practical use that it's probably better to start by seeing what those people have found first and trying that. It is not, as the OP suggest, a place where "science has not yet poked its nose". Do I have to provide links to cancer treatments shown to work before recommending people try experimental treatments only as a last resort?
I don't know of any scientific studies which the best type of broom to sweep a hallway with or the best hammer to hit a nail into a piece of wood with. Yet somehow I've managed to use these tool.
I don't know of scientific studies showing the effectiveness of repeated affirmations (though I'd suspect there are some). They still seem like a very plausible tool.
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. By that token, there are some claims so ordinary that they only require the ordinary evidence of experience.
Edit: go ahead and make decisions based on whatever criteria you feel is appropriate. Nobody has the time to read peer-reviewed journals on everything, and at some point you have to rely on the recommendations of your friends or people with the relevant expertise. You may feel that these techniques are equivalent to a spade or broom or hammer, but others may feel it's a large time commitment they would not otherwise make, or be too close to the realm of psychology/medicine, and require more than just "Works for me!" before trying it themselves.
As I said before, the lack of science didn't stop me either.
What does it mean that the book is not scientific?
There's no scientific justification to its methodology. So we don't know that repeating particular phrases over and over can change one's mind or behavior in a meaningful way.
I bought the book, but I don't think that it being a placebo is the only danger. What if it has negative effects on your way of thinking? What if it has no effect for most people? What if it has a negative effect (e.g. on people with low self-esteem as another comment points out)? What if there's a better way of achieving the same result? What if we don't even know what the right 'what if' questions to ask are?
The low self-esteem is a very valid point. I've had some very strong negative reactions to people telling me to "get over it" in terms of a couple of personal insecurities and faults, and going over the thoughts makes it worse, at least in terms of dealing with the emotions as valid. In fact, thinking about these faults conventionally leads to a deepening of the unwanted behavior.
Having started to meditate in the Vipassana style has started to teach me to accept, but not embrace these emotions. In a less hippy-dippy way, there could be actualization training that helps people get on the right path first, defeating these types of emotions.
I posit that it's something that will make you think it worked (and you'll recommend the book to all your friends), but won't make any actual positive impact on your discipline. Basically if it's a placebo, it would give you self-delusion instead of results.
Actually, the placebo effect is not a delusion, that's why it's called that and not "the placebo delusion." A better analogy would be something that worked despite not believing that it will. Results despite opinion, as it were.
The upshot is that discipline is self-evident. Anything that has an effect on discipline is indistinguishable from placebo. Either you're getting more done or you aren't, there's not a lot of room for "getting stuff done, but in a fake way."
Unless you take time to measure how much you get done (how would you even measure such a thing consistently?) - you might think you're getting more done even though you're not. Kind of like multitasking can feel really productive, even though productivity actually decreases.
I am a scientist. This sure doesn't seem like science to me.
I'm not an expert in self-motivation so I don't know if there are placebo controlled randomized experiments to test effectiveness of self-motivation, but it seems like a reasonable and testable hypothesis that there are some real cognitive effects.
We know that athletes exhibit "muscle memory" where after prolonged repetition of a physical motion there are real changes that occur in the brain to make future repetitions sub-conscious, i.e. "being in the zone".
I suppose there could be an analagous system for higher order cognitive processes.
There's most definitely an analogous system for higher order cognitive processes. If you play Starcraft a lot, you will get better at Starcraft. If you program a lot, you will get better at programming. If you write a lot, you will get better at writing.
The part I'm not sure about is that additional level of abstraction. In my experience, if you read about programming a lot, you may get marginally better at programming, but nowhere near as good as you would've gotten had you spent that time programming. Similarly, if you read about persisting a lot, I doubt you'll get as good as you would if, every time you thought about quitting, you told yourself 'no' and kept going.
There is a point, since there will be diminishing returns, but you miss the concept of complementary training.
For instance, it is afaik hard to become a good chess player without reading a bit about opening theory and reading about old matches. It is hard to become good at graphics programming without some math. And so on.
Given that the placebo effect is real, why not just use a placebo. Sure, this book may not be better than a placebo, but it's $8. If you get any positive effect at all it's probably worth it.
This book requires you to do something for 3 time everyday for a year. That time is probably wroth a lot more than $8. So, I'd say some proof wouldn't be asked too much.
Like most diet plans, this is one of those things which is very difficult to prove in the general case and quite easy to test for the individual. If you think it might work you can try it for a couple of weeks and see if it has any noticeable effects. If it does, that's well and good; if it doesn't, big deal.
Now, from my point of view the idea that something like this could work is quite plausible. Repeat something to yourself often enough and you'll start to believe it? Sure, that sounds like the kind of thing that the human brain is just dumb enough to fall for.
Personally I wouldn't do it in this precise form. Repeat that passage to yourself and you'll feel silly. For starters, it's written in pseudo-archaic English words which the author doesn't actually understand. "I will be liken to"? That isn't even a sensible grammatical construction.
If the excerpt given in the original post is any indication, the wording of the passages is probably too general to be of any direct effect but there is some evidence that forming what are known as "implementation intentions" does have some effect in helping direct oneself in goal attainment (http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/dont-delay/201001/implem...). So it could be that reminding your self to "persist" can lead you to form a more specific intention that does help you towards goal achievement, but you're probably better off just making your own set of implementation intentions and reading those each day.
I'm a fan of implementation intentions and have found them to work well.
There is a good book chapter from
Bas Verplanke called "Habits and implementation
intentions". A pdf of the chapter can be downloaded from http://uit.no/getfile.php?PageId=1935&FileId=312 The chapter focuses on habits and then how implementation intentions can be used to change them.
Well, we all know that spending time in the company of achievement minded, practical people tends to help with achievement. After all, friendships are really just a regular series of communications with people we tend to agree with. We can even be changed / motivated by people we've never actually met, such as politicians, actors, preachers, whomever. So clearly you don't even need a two-way communication for this to work. It's also possible to be affected by an 'enemy' if you spend enough time with them. So clearly you don't even have to see the person as a friend to accept influence, although it's likely that the less you respected the source, the less influence they woudl have. And it's also clear that, unless this process takes place over time, it's unlikely to be 'life changing'.
I can see how a book of repetitive phrases would tap into the same process that causes us to be influenced by friends and other people we respect. The book is really just a way of a message being communicated back to us. You could probably think of it as a hack to get positive ideas burnt into your subconcious on a large scale. And also, it's obviously important that you respect the book (and by extension, the author). Friendships work when you let the friends have influence over your life because you value their opinion.
I read a lot of these types of books, and I've been questioned why. I figure I'm just going to spend the time either reading fiction books or watching TV, anyway, so why not?
"I'm not an expert in self-motivation so I don't know if there are placebo controlled randomized experiments to test effectiveness of self-motivation, but it seems like a reasonable and testable hypothesis that there are some real cognitive effects."
Maybe. But people sure buy a lot of different self-help books that claim to be THE WAY.
On the science question, I'd be interested to read more about the science of motivation. It seems intuitive that reading the same thing over and over would tend to reinforce it in your mind. Isn't that the basis for propaganda and brainwashing in general? However, intuition and science are often orthogonal, so some hard data would be interesting.
The brainiacs at LessWrong have been thinking, discussing and arguing about akrasia for a long time - http://lesswrong.com/tag/akrasia/. You will find some references to scientific studies and data there.
I think the problem with akrasia is it's a lot like "being sick" - if you call your physician on the phone and say, "I'm sick" he won't be able to really help you without further diagnosis.
Seems like akrasia could be any one of a couple dozen things (fear of failure, fear of success, habit, chemical addiction, many more things). We're not at a point in anti-akrasia/rationality/motivation/etc to be able to accurately diagnose and treat all of the causes of it.
I think we'll get there, though. Someday. Quite a ways off. But progress is being made. In the meantime, I'll second Ryan's recommendation for the book. It's good.
We also may just not be able to fix it. Some things we just can't do, regardless of our science and engineering.
For example, we are the most prosperous civilization in history, yet we have record rates of suicide and unhappiness compared to more "backward" civilizations. In fact, the 20th century has been the most horrific in the history of the world, yet it was also the most advanced.
If akrasia is something we can "fix," why haven't we fixed it by now? Surely not for lack of trying.
I don't see much evidence of trying, and where I do see evidence of trying I see a lot of "fixing".
I see Buddhists and meditators fix their problem of "I want to do something but can't make myself do it" by erasing the "want" part, I see disciplinarians and organisers strengthening their ability to make themselves do things and meditators and organisers reduce the obstacles in their way of doing things.
How many people do you know who have one or two self help books which they read (or partly read) but didn't really act on? Does that count as trying?
How many schools and colleges and night schools do you know which have courses in "curing yourself of procrastination"? Any?
It still seems very much stuck in the past, like natural philosophers talking about phlogiston. Some self help techniques work, but finding which you click with and doing them right and keeping trying until you get results and avoiding the dross and doing so while not being affected by whatever problems you have that you want to change isn't a simple thing and people generally don't seem to "try hard" at it (in the right ways).
Follow some psychology courses and then review your assertion that it doesn't seem like science.
From a behavioral and cognitive view of psychology, gaining motivation from passages in the book is comparable to observed learning. If the motivation one gains from reading the book results in positive results then according to contingency conditioning theory it should result in reinforcement of the behavior, thereby producing an upward spiral. The book probably also influences humans' by altering their beliefs and therefore perceptions during top-down processing of information.
From a biomedical view of psychology, reading a passage 1000 times probably alters your brain structure in significant enough ways that it alters your motivational attitudes. I think that if you put people who read the book in an fMRI scanner you'll see some difference compared to control people.
Actually I haven't read much of Ryan's blog/comments to make any opinion about him. But I definitely know that edw519 makes many interesting, informative comments on hn. And if he believes in Ryan's judgement, so will I.
1. I am a scientist. This sure doesn't seem like science to me.
Reasons to buy the book:
1. I am too ignorant to be pessimistic.
2. The source of the suggestion. Ryan's judgement usually seems pretty sound.
Two reasons are better than one. Just bought the book.
I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday. I'll start on Monday.