what exactly is the evidence for number 1? occam's razor seems to suggest it's false. it doesn't make any sense why he would double cross us. he clearly doesn't care that we know he's satoshi if 1 is true.
For me at least, it doesn't make any sense that Satoshi wouldn't reveal his own identity in the first place. Almost nothing about this story makes sense, and we have to deal with a lot of conjecture and misinformation. For someone as dumb as me when it comes to Bitcoin and blockchain technology, it's hard to tell fact from unfounded assertion in just about every post I read.
some people are just secretive. I liken Satoshi's disappearance to that of _why and as such I find it very odd that they would go to all this trouble into tricking us into thinking they're not Satoshi Nakamoto when they could have just never revealed themselves in the first place.
In short, if you are Satoshi, what's the point of deceiving everyone into thinking you aren't when the only reason people think you are is because you chose to say so?
> it doesn't make any sense that Satoshi wouldn't reveal his own identity in the first place
If I were disrupting the banking industry, I wouldn't be too eager to forgo anonymity either. That's a lot of money that stands to be lost for some already very rich people.
I see where you're coming from, but I doubt the finance industry is worried that they're going to be put out of business - if anything, right now they view Bitcoin as another source of revenue. There have been a lot of inventors that have killed off much bigger businesses, and I can't think of any that wanted to stay anonymous.
Oh, I don't think the entire industry will be. There's a large class of necessary & billable activities that the blockchain doesn't impact. But transaction / settling fees aren't zero revenue either.
The more immediate explanation was probably "he or she or they knew the first use was going to be facilitating illegal transactions and didn't want to be associated."
Bitcoin is way, way too small to disrupt banking. The total value of the M2 money supply of USD is $12,500 billion. Bitcoin's total value is only around ~$40 billion. That may seem large, but it is puny compared to the banking industry.
