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Black voters seem likely to vote in higher numbers for Trump than any other Republican as do working class White Democrats. That isn't to say Trump will win those demographics, but 20% of the Black vote should be enough for any Republican to win nationally when the Republican average is 5% lately.

Hispanics don't vote in large numbers and Chicanos -- the only category Trump might be especially unpopular with -- overwhelmingly don't live in swing states or turn out to vote. Muslims don't make up a large voting block and already are overwhelmingly Democrats.

I'm not predicting a Trump victory, but you are far too sanguine about his chances and the underlying demographic realities.




Well,every vote Trump looses counts. The White vote is not one unified voting block that will vote republican. You have his main supporters that will vote for him no matter what and then you have everybody else. Not every republican will vote for him. Unless he can unify the white vote, doubt it, then how is supposed to win?

I guess the newspaper articles claiming you need certain percentage of Hispanics to win the presidency have lied. I will not debate you on this point since I'm no expert. Add to the fact that he has pissed off more people than just Latinos and his chances appear slimmer. But maybe I'm just misinformed.




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