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Luck is just probability, and the Law of Large Numbers says that low-probability events are much more likely to happen if you sample repeatedly.


No, luck is when your manage to get a sample that is much better than the expectation value. Of course this has to happen for some people, some of the time - but counting on it is irrational.

There is nothing lucky about merely resampling until in expectation you should see the result you want. That's just doing the work.


>There is nothing lucky about merely resampling until in expectation you should see the result you want. That's just doing the work.

That's just showing up.


You could also consider luck to be our sampling bias of only taking into account the successful outcomes.

The population as a whole that is attempting to determine the 'next big thing (tm)' does the majority of the sampling (with a small amount of resampling from those who manage a second or third try). We then read the stories of the successful outcomes and call it luck.




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