I know 'mixture of experts' is a thing, but I personally would rather have a model more focused on coding or other things that have some degree of formal rigor.

If they want a model that does talk therapy, make it a separate model.

The parent. Look up the definition of arguably.

Sure, if you are reading the word "arguably" completely literally, but that's not the colloquially understood implication of the term when used to describe a work. Obviously the author of the parent comment is implying they they would possibly consider it the best PKD novel, but the colloquial meaning implied when someone uses the word arguably, generally isn't just to describe one's own opinion, but a significant portion of the popular or critical consensus.

One person could take a position opposed to the general held consensus on any topic, but if one person is the only one to hold this opinion, in english, it would generally not be described as a position that is "arguably" the case, even though if you read the word literally, one person is technically arguing it.

Also, I asked because I wanted to get the above user's opinion on the matter, not your dismissive comment which isn't contributing anything. I've read the VALIS trilogy, but I've never heard any of VALIS trilogy novels described as possibly PKD's best work.

> Also, I asked because I wanted to get the above user's opinion on the matter

And you could've done just that without being passive-aggressively dismissive.

That's interpreting a lot from just four words. Opinion probably wasn't the best word for what I was referring to, but more-so their reference point for claiming that it is arguably his best work. My comment may seem dismissive to someone who hasn't read PKD, but VALIS is generally never considered a contender for his best work. To suggest that it is seems absurd which is why I responded as I did.

I am torn on whether I used the word arguably correctly in my original comment. When I first posted it, I thought I could find many sources that had argued it was PKD's best work.

Upon trying to find those sources I could only find Terence Mckenna's article on it, in which he doesn't exactly argue that it is PKD's best work https://sirbacon.org/dick.htm

Perhaps I now believe that those who read the book and "got it" would argue that it's his best book and perhaps even the best title.

But part of me wondered just now if those sources were out there and now I cannot find them.

Well, if we're talking about radar in a moving car, it's the other vehicles moving at the same speed that appear stationary.

Non-moving vehicles are seen as approaching you at whatever speed you are moving at. Along with all the other things you mentioned.

So they all have doppler shift but the "stationary" things approaching your car at your speed actually have much higher shift than the traffic around you.

Yea, and they are designed to filter out actually stationary things by ignoring anything that's coming at you at the same speed as the current car speed (from measuring wheel rotation).

It should be obvious that this is entirely up to the reader. Take some responsibility for your own happiness. Nobody else is responsible for your enjoyment of anything.

I used to have this. I don't anymore, and weirdly I kind of like chewing sounds now. It actually triggers ASMR for me. Not all sounds, like definitely not slurping, but other clicking/crunching sounds trigger ASMR for me.

It's strange. Because I do remember being extremely grossed out by the sound of my father eating cereal at breakfast in the morning before school. I wouldn't be able to eat my own food it disgusted me so much.

It's all or nothing. I can't stand it unless it's erotic ASMR then it's fine.

In some ways it resembles the drug industry. Heavy investment in what looks like a promising line of development only to have it flop like 4.5 with marginal improvements.

I think you missed the point. The claim is that it would have cost you more to hire a person to do what either claude code or aider did.

I think I pretty directly addressed that point. Yes, it would be more expensive to hire me to do what Claude Code / Aider did, but nobody would be satisfied with my work if I stopped where Claude Code / Aider did.

They aren't necessarily saying it can replace you. They're saying that even though it's expensive, it's cheaper than your time (which can be better spent on other tasks, as you point out.)

And with this increase in productivity, your boss needs fewer of you to do the work that would previously require a larger team.

The first half is correct, but the conclusions shouldn’t be ‘we’re replicating our software engineers with Claude today’, they’re ‘our experienced engineers just 10x their productivity, we’ll never need to hire an intern’

You mean "our experienced engineers just 10x'd their productivity, so we can fire 90% of them"

Productivity gains decrease exponentially after a few weeks as your engineering skills become rusty very fast (yes, they do, in 100% cases)

Thats the biggest part everyone misses. It’s all sunshine and rainbows until in a month you realize you start asking llm to think for you and at that point the code becomes shit and degrades fast.

Like with everything else “use it or lose it”

If you don’t code yourself- you will lose the ability to properly so it very fast, and you won’t realize it until too late

If you're using the LLM poorly. Many team leads spend very little time programming, and spend a lot of time reviewing code, which is basically what working with LLMs is. If the LLM writes code that you couldn't have written yourself, you aren't qualified to approve it.

Accurate only for companies who think today “I have exactly as much engineering talent as I’ll ever need.”

Which is approximately zero companies.

Nah the value unlock is too great. For now. Don’t quote me next March.

I'm pondering where this "AI-automated programming" trend is heading.

For example: thirty years ago, FX trading was executed by a bunch of human traders. Then, computers arrived on the scene, which made all of them practically obsolete. Nowadays FX trading is executed by a collection of automated algorithms, being monitored by few quants.

My question is: is the software development in 2025 basically like what the foreign exchange was in the 2000s?

My take is something like the following:

With industrialisation blacksmiths were replaced by assembly lines. I'm sure that blacksmiths are more flexible and capable in almost any important dimension, but the economics of factories just made more sense.

I expect that when the dust settles (assuming that the dust settles), that most software will be an industrial product. The humans involved in its creation will be engineers and not craftsmen. Today we have machinists and industrial engineers - not blacksmiths.

Quality and quality assurance processes will become more important, I also expect optimised production processes. I think a lot of the software ecosystem is a baroque set of over-engineered (or over crafted) steps and processes and this will probably be refactored.

I expect code quality metrics to be super refined. Craftsmen don't usually produce artifacts to the tolerances that our machines do now - code will be the same. I expect automated correctness proofs, specification languages, enhanced type systems to have a renaissance.

This, if you hire engineers, you want them doing tasks only engineers can do, not busy work.

I have the same problem. My eye doctor suggested moisturizing eye drops. I was skeptical, my eyes didn't feel dry, but it has made a big difference.

Oh, you all mean when expose or whatever it's called shrinks the windows down and spreads them all out? Yeah, I've never found it a useful way to switch apps if I have more than a couple open. Visually searching for the window I want like that isn't fast for me, and if the windows get too small it's not helpful.

I can't reproduce this behavior so maybe it's changed in recent versions.