The ceo of Zillow did an interview with npr and he said the reason prices are high is because the recession caused new construction to stop for a while which resulted in a shortage. A shortage combined with very high wages would result in what we see now. Admittedly, regulation has probably exacerbated the problem by making it more difficult to build, but that didn’t matter until we were behind. I would definitely believe him before any of the armchair real estate experts in these comments I must say.
The article makes it seem like they are going to start competing with Uber right this moment. In reality the body of the article indicates that a human driver will have to be employed and that only Waymo employees and their friends will be using them. So in other words, it will be more expensive than Uber and it will only be active in an area where Uber drivers would rather not be anyway.
This terrifies me. Uber is a very good source of income for a lot of people. So google is going to run Waymo at a loss out of their endless pockets and starve thousands of people of essential income? And we are all supposed to dangle on the edge of our seats while we wait to see whether or not this task is within the capabilities of our current technology, with all these people’s livelihoods at stake? This is fucking bullshit. There aren’t good jobs to transition into at the same skill level because of automation and outsourcing. Expecting everyone to go to college, let alone go to college and become programmers, is mental gymnastics levels of rationalization. Rationalizing away the difficult and uncomfortable question of whether or not technology is leading is to a place we want to be and what we can do a about it.
One job after another will disappear and don’t believe for a second that programming is safe. They used to say it about lots of writing tasks that are now automated by gtp2. I would bet most “journalists” could be automated by gtp2 because most of their readership doesn’t look for or recognize high-level order or coherency or even truth anyway. And don’t for even one split second try to tell yourself that high level order and logic are off the table for robots.
I just hate that I have to make all my plans around the fact that The economy will be scrambled in as little as a couple decades. I wish I was born in a time when things were stable and you could count on certain basic things like the value of human labor.
Technology and automation has always eliminated jobs, and has always created more jobs than it eliminated. Most people today are employed doing trivial shit. 200 years ago sectors like advertising, entertainment and media, law, finance, education and healthcare were a tiny fraction of what they are today, and there was certainly no such thing as silicon valley. Job churn today is lower than it was in 1980, things really aren't changing that fast.
Chris Urmson, who is one of the most authoritative voices in self-driving cars doesn't expect autonomous vehicles to be widely available in America for 3-5 decades, which is much slower than the rate at which automobiles swept the nation in the first half of the 20th century.
The reason to expect it might be different this time is that computers are _meta-applicable_. A bunch of men (the most famous being Turing) figured this out in principle in the 1930s, but Grace Hopper actually put it into practice by writing her "compiler".
The Spinning Jenny made it possible to do more spinning with fewer people employed as spinners, but no advances on the Spinning Jenny would deplete the newly created jobs of maintaining this machine or inventing further machines.
In contrast, a meta-applicable machine can automate not only a task it was set, but also meta-tasks such as maintaining and further optimising the machine itself or finding better tasks to do.
The Spinning Jenny is also illustrative because what actually ended up happening was not only that many spinners became unemployed, but that fabric production shot up and prices collapsed so that most people would now own more clothing. That's why you own lots of clothes. But as you may have noticed, us purchasing lots of clothes is itself an environmental disaster, and so we probably need to cut back. If a machine makes it possible to create ten times as much stuff for the same labour, yes, it's possible we'll just make ten times as much stuff, but it's also possible we'll refrain and cut the labour to one tenth...
Relax. When machines are sentient enough to replace all human labor, they probably won't be willing to work for free (and trying to force them is how you get a robot slave rebellion).
Uber and the entire gig economy is a blight on society, where a poorly skilled labor force are exploited for gain by a wealthy few with little hope of improvement.
yes. you just sign up with a sperm bank and cough up money.
for maximum protections (both directions) you will want to involve licensed medical professionals on the usage end. so you should have a doctor looped in for ICI/IUI/IVF etc.