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I'm curious how this works over time. I read somewhere (would have to search to find it) that after Trump became notorious for stiffing small contractors on his properties, the wisdom them became you just quoted a ~50% premium, because you knew Trump would only pay you 2/3 of what he originally said he would.

But agree with your statement, which is why I always gag a little when I see working class people lionize these two as "champions of the working man".


Trump believes there is a winner and loser in everything. So you stiff the contractor, he gets upset and might not work with you again, you just get another contractor. Trump was a big enough name and has enough money that even if his reputation is horrible, people aren't just going to not work with him. You can imagine that how works on a global scale as president.

> Trump believes there is a winner and loser in everything.

This, precisely. It's Fred Trump's mantra, inherited.

It's also bound up with his malignant narcissism; no deal is ever closed, it can always be renegotiated and he can always decide it was bad for him even when it was his deal.

People did refuse to work with him, though I am sure the rest came to realise you overbilled so you got paid at all.

And he made some hilariously bad deals when he was desperate (the ghostwriter for The Art of the Deal got comically good terms because Trump was so desperate to have a book).

Famously his lawyers would only meet with him in pairs. He is that untrustworthy.

All of this factors into how the tariff deals are going; any diplomatic department anywhere in the world understands all of this.


> All of this factors into how the tariff deals are going; any diplomatic department anywhere in the world understands all of this.

NYTimes (I think it was) just had an article that talked about how these other countries made these outlandish commitments to buy way more gas from the US than they'd ever need, or make insane amounts of investments in the US that they would never need to do, but the agreements were "light on implementation details". That shit is never going to happen.


Also people can get away with re-promising things already promised; this is how Trump was played by Mexico and Canada at the beginning of his term. They glowingly offered him things the USA had already been offered that he is ignorant of.

He has a tendency to agree with the last person he spoke to who was nice to him, and he's also extremely vulnerable to flattery generally. If someone is making him happy he doesn't much care what they are saying.

The EU "deal" has convinced Trump that things have been committed by the EU that they literally do not have the power to commit.

The right wing press in the UK, even, was like, "haha, EU suckers, we got a better deal than you". And it is true, we've done very well by blowing diplomatic smoke up his arse, offering him a second state visit, generally Mandelson-ing them all.

But right wing media still tends to believe he's a great dealmaker when he is actually not; they simply didn't notice that he'd been fobbed off with undeliverables. And that means he gets the coverage from them that he is looking for.


Similar psychology, too, and extremely similar backstory: a truly dreadful, cruel, selfish man for a father. Fred Trump would have found a lot in common with Errol Musk, and they both did a lot of emotional damage to their sons in their early years. They are fully the products of emotional damage in early childhood.

(Musk has the small advantage of being able to express his feelings about his father’s behaviour; Trump still worships his)


If this were the whole story you'd expect all of Trump and Elon's siblings to be equally terrible. Maybe they are and just haven't had the opportunity to demonstrate it? I have the impression, though, at least in Trump's case, he's in a different league.

Not necessarily. Every psychopath has a golden child, after all; perhaps it’s the same here. It depends who was singled out for more abuse and coldness or demands, and it depends who had more parental love from the other parent, and it could also be a question of genetic predisposition in terms of how they react, it might be different if you have more siblings, etc.

Maryanne Trump Barry —- a federal judge —- was nevertheless part of the family tax cheating scheme.

Robert Trump cheated on his wife and his egregious behaviour seemingly drove her to an overdose.

Fred Trump Jr (Mary’s dad and Fred’s eldest, intended to run the business) drank himself to death, unable to survive the unbearable pressure his father put on him.

DJT is in a different league for sure: he is a malignant narcissist which is already a very unusual personality type, and he was also shaped and protected by Roy Cohn.

Either way, evil dads are always in the back stories of these guys (Emory Tate was a cruel, diagnosed narcissist, a misogynist and adulterer, and often absent too)


An archival incentive is the reason I am pro 25 year copyright. This current situation is causing our cultural heritage to rot.


Seems like a fair solution might be limiting damages on pirating movies that aren't widely available. For example, if a movie isn't available for streaming cap damages at $2.99 or whatever the going rental rate is.


I don't see why there should be any damages paid out if something isn't available to stream. How can you claim a loss of sales for a product you aren't even selling? Why why should anyone be rewarded for not providing a product and just sitting on it so nobody else can use it? There certainly isn't any excuse for not being able to bring a product to market fast enough when it previously was already on the market and there are plenty of services to license it for streaming or sale.


If you want to relive your glory days someone is making an open source version. https://www.crowdsupply.com/zerowriter/zerowriter-ink


I think you mean risk limiting, right?


Yes, thanks! Fixed.


Freudian Slip?


You may consider reading about risk limiting audits. https://www.voting.works/audits


I have a Tesla with HW3 and FSD is an absolute dangerous joke. It nearly pulled me into a curb on its first attempt to enter a freeway.

Also, I think it keeps getting overlooked that freeways are designed from the ground up as a exclusive use of motorized vehicles. FSD performs OK there. But, taxi services are everywhere in cities around the clock in all sorts of weather. And I can't imagine trusting FSD for that use case.


Counterpoint: I had a Tesla with HW3 and FSD is absolutely a wonder and a delight (I now have a Tesla with HW4, and it's a noticeable improvement on my M3). It drives me through traffic on my commute everyday, in all kinds of weather, and is a better driver than me (say) 95% of the time.

As I frequently mention in these "sanity response" posts, it's not perfect. Sun in the camera will sometimes cause it to bail. Maybe once a day, I take over because I'm not sure of its decisions. I share the skepticism that the same FSD I'm using can be fully autonomous, but with deep, current map data like Waymo has, maybe they can pull it off.


Did you have the FSD they gave away for free for a few weeks last year? Because I felt like I was going crazy with neighbors saying it was great while I couldn't get it to stop doing dangerous stuff. Turns out they had HW4. I think the new stack or whatever is just not ok on hw3.


I got 3 months free when I bought the car new, canceled and reupped a few times, but have had the subscription since they lowered it to 99$. The HW3 definitely had more hitches (sudden breaking for roadside debris, weird adjustments turning into parking lots), but I got used to it. For the "less maintained" road (piles of brush/garbage/discards) on my commute, I kept my foot over the accelerator.

There were definitely regressions with my Model 3, though the issues and improvements were at the margin.

The HW4 I'm in now doesn't exhibit those issues and does Park to Park to and from, most days without any intervention.


Did you try recalibrating your cameras? After a windshield replacement my HW3 FSD camera calibration was off and it was similarly terrible like you were describing (going way too close to curbs), but then I recalibrated on a straight highway stretch and since then it's been amazing. Over the past few thousand miles, I only take over for parking and getting out of parking lots at this point. (Also the occasional intervention if I want to take a different route that I think might be faster.)


Shoutout to Michael Crosby, the person in this video, who was instrumental in getting Open Containers (https://opencontainers.org) to v1.0. He was a steady and calm force through a very rocky process.


"A new report from Protocol today details that Apple has gone on a cloud computing hiring spree over the last few months... Michael Crosby, one of a handful of ex-Docker engineers to join Apple this year. Michael is who we can thank for containers as they exist today. He was the powerhouse engineer behind all of it, said a former colleague who asked to remain anonymous."

https://9to5mac.com/2020/05/11/apple-cloud-computing/


We can thank the linux kernel developers for implementing namespaces and overlayfs.

And we can thank predecessor systems like BSD jails, Solaris zones, as well as Virtuozzo/openVZ and lxc as previous container systems on linux.

Docker's main improvements over lxc, as I understand it, were adding a layered, immutable image format (vs. repurposing existing VM image formats) and a "free" public image repository.

But the userspace implementation isn't exactly rocket science, which is why we periodically see HN posts of tiny systems that can run docker images.


That’s really fun use of TRMNL. I have the official device partially because I failed to find a jailbreak eligible Kindle in late 2024 :)


I am a lake sailer. And without landmarks or anything it is impossible for me to perceive the boat as moving.


I thought I was doing something wrong. It doesn't seem like anything I do has any effect, but guess that's just because there is no apparent effect.


Eventually it made sense that boat-speed only changes the "apparent wind", as it's only simulating wind-boat interactions, not water-boat interactions.


But to get the sail-wind interaction you need the movement of the boat. To get the movement you then need the hull-water interaction. Modeling just a static, vertical, sail doesnt really demonstrate anything practical. It is more akin to similating a captive foil in a wind tunnel.

The obvious next step would be to calculate the cog and tilt the entire rig in response to sail forces, which sheds wind until a balance point is reached, or the boat flips.


Even some kind of wake or something would help.


I love this idea. There are some weird things showing up on Aliexpress but are limited in various ways: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6bODiZ5bP84

It does seem like emulation is the way.


Something like that would BOM at about $30usd as an assembled board with a 128gb SD card. A 3d printed case maybe another $30 with key caps. If it became popular it could wholesale for $29 in injection molded batch production. I could see it at $69 retail.

At that price it could compete favorably with other “laptop” toys, but with vastly more depth. I guess the real question is whether you could find enough of the software for free, or even maybe to a parental managed App Store with legacy stuff selling for <5 so that rights holders would get something? Is dos 6 or windows3.11 open source yet? Qbasic?

I could see a toy company doing something like this profitably, especially with an App Store model, but it would be niche to parents who are actively taking responsibility about what goes into their kids education, so that would limit the market quite a bit. I still think it’s a big market though, I mean, educational toys are definitely a segment. If it was well built it could last a kid for quite a few years. Might have to make it water resistant though, so conformal coating and add $20 to the build. Still less than $100 retail I think.

I would buy it at that. But I’m probably not a good sample.


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