And surely the other way around as well, if not more so. Places with more pollution will generally be in poorer areas, where life happiness/satisfaction are already lower, most likely worsened by negative effects of pollution. Indirectly or otherwise.
That's on her then for fully believing what marketing and business execs are 'telling her' about LLMs. Does she get upset when she buys a coke around Christmas and her life doesn't become all warm and fuzzy with friendliness and cheer all around?
Seems like she's given a drill with a flathead, and just complains for months on end that it often fails (she didnt charge the drill) or gives her useless results (she uses philipheads). How about figuring out what works and what doesn't, and adjusting your use of the tool accordingly? If she is a painter, don't blame the drill for messing up her painting.
I kinda agree. But she seems smart and knowledgeable. It's kinda disappointing, like... She should know better. I guess it's the Gell-Mann amnesia effect once again.
Irreversible might not be the thing to wonder about. Can it be changed to a more desired state or result? That has a much more definitive answer: pretty much always 'yes'.
Agreed on this being a painful read. Starting with this being a 10 minute job. Based on what? Assumptions are the.. etc. You assumed everthing was plug&play ready. Who told you that?
Anyway, after the second trip, before going on a third, he still didn't think to actually check the complete 'requirements' for his trip to the hardware store. You buy a part for your drill, but don't check if it will fit your drill? Why not bring the drill and then take a picture of the job site, if you are going to ask the people at the store for help anyway.
It's like downloading a compiler, write lot's of code in Python and then being annoyed it's a C++ compiler or whatever. Same for the "not actually extendable hose". Maybe call the wife, or just buy the hose and return it if you don't need it on another trip to the hardware store later that day or week when you pass there. Just painful, no planning or thinking.
The only thing I can imagine just being domain knowledge, is that the spigot needed a hole to be drilled eventhough it has an inlet which I would also assume was open.
I think it was somewhat reasonable for the author to assume it would be a 10-minute job when it had been that way in the previous places he lived. Realizing that a brand-new house might be "unfinished" in some ways is something you might not know if you've only lived in places where there was a previous owner that took care of all the unfinished bits.
But I agree that once the author realized he needed to go to the hardware store a second time, he should have gone through the motions of pre-checking every step he'd need to perform so he could see what else wasn't right.
"I think it was somewhat reasonable for the author to assume it would be a 10-minute job when it had been that way in the previous places he lived."
I don't - in all of those, the author knew someone else had done the work for them.
It's like always having had scaffolding built for you, and then when you have to do it from scratch, assuming the scaffolding required zero time and zero knowledge to build, and being surprised when it doesn't.
Here's a fun thing that most software developers never do that works, and would have also worked here: He could have asked.
"Hey random internet people, i'm about to install a washer in my new home. All of my previous homes i was not the first owner, but here I am. What do i need to think about here?"
A quick search shows lots of people have asked on reddit and get correct answers for their situations. I don't see one where they got bad advice.
The fact that software developers assume it's reasonable to not bother to seek knowledge when you know the situation has changed says more about software development than it does about reasonability :)
They knew nobody else had done it for them here the second they hit a single issue.
Why not step back at that point and try to understand the entire problem you may be facing?
This like people who build software by just fixing one bug they see at a time by trying to make the compiler happy or whatever, instead of stepping back and thinking about the system as a whole - what other assumptions are likely wrong if you had this bug?
Worse, here there was a very easy solution: Ask questions before you start.
Just because it's common for software developers to not bother to ask people for knowledge they don't have doesn't mean it's a good answer.
On LLM/ML itself: it seems a lot of cynical people start with some unreasonable idea that "AI" should be able to do what it will perhaps be able to in 10 or 100 years, and are subsequently upset that it is not capable of that yet. It may get there, it may not. But that's on you for starting with a wrong assumption.
Is the AI "business" or "market" overvalued for it's current capabilities? Yeah, I do believe so. Welcome to the financial world, which is completely separated from reality. It's like that in all sectors where something new and exciting is happening, not just IT or AI. People poor money in hoping to be early enough to make a profit. Nothing more, nothing less. The rest is marketing. Some Sam Altman guy promoting the hell out of his own product? That is literally his job, regardless of wether or not he believes it all.
But articles like these are so bizarre to me. The author acts like he has millions at stake and his money manager just won't listen and pull all investments out of AI. Hurry up, the bubble is about to burst, I will lose all my money!
Except that... they don't. They are just "old man yelling at cloud". If you believe AI is the next Metaverse or WeWork, then it will just die off by itself once the bubble pops. Why are you having so many conversations about it, where you seem to be desperately trying to convince people of the bubble/con that is AI. To the point that you're so sick of it, that you write down your arguments so you can point the blinded there instead of having those tiresome arguments.
Genuinely baffled. Spend your energy on something productive rather than destructive, perhaps?
If you are correcting my use of millions to trillions: I was refering to the author himself, who writes like this giant AI bubble is pushing him forward to the edge of the cliff as people keep believing in it, and he is desperately trying to get the bubble to shrink or he'll fall off and die. Methaphorically.
But why does he act or feel that way? Let the trillions be lost, it's just how hypes, bubbles and the stock market in general work.
> it seems a lot of cynical people start with some unreasonable idea that "AI" should be able to do what it will perhaps be able to in 10 or 100 years, and are subsequently upset that it is not capable of that yet
Because that's what AI wa supposed to be in the first place. But the industry performed the swindle of renaming "AI" to "AGI", so that they can pretend the thing that exists now is "AI".
You left out the most interesting part: why _were_ you a part of it. Did it not work out, why not, or did you leave because of reasons not related to the (un)succes of this system?
You may be missing the feeling of being a human being with atonomy over the course of your life. Missing in the sence of absence, definately not in a sense of sadness or regret - be happy to not have to worry about the most existential things in life and being dependent on the whims of a boss / company / ecomomy for them. tl;dr I'm happy for you to not be in the rat race, it's completely not glorious (to be in it).
>> I have spent the past few months teaching/mentoring another resident in a different facility in Maine who I was put in contact with. I had heard he matched my level of discipline by putting in 14 hour days learning every single day. That has been the most rewarding thing I’ve done, because he put in a tremendous amount of work and we are now hiring him this week and I am fortunate enough to see and have directly contributed to the same life altering changes that have happened to me over the past few years.
Getting out of the lifestyle of a dealing addict is, in fact, one of the toughest things to persevere trough. And in my opinion, pretty much impossible without outside help. Glad to read this guy got that help by being transferred to the Maine prison system and everything that happened from that point onward.
This was discussed last year, see the link by wonger_ just below.
